PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.030. up 0.009 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.021 to 0.035. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0372626
0.03876102
0.039210312
0.04950362
0.0505,0005,362
0.0701005,462
0.0846206,082
0.0853216,403
0.1576207,023
0.1622007,223
0.201707,293
0.205507,343

Spread0.013Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0242525
0.0236186
0.022116202
0.021228430
0.020489919
0.0191551,074
0.011291,103
0.00861,109
0.007411,149
0.006791,229
0.0051801,409
0.0041141,523

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9762525
0.9776186
0.978116202
0.979228430
0.980489919
0.9811551,074
0.989291,103
0.99261,109
0.993411,149
0.994791,229
0.9951801,409
0.9961141,523

Spread0.013Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9632626
0.96276102
0.961210312
0.95150362
0.9505,0005,362
0.9301005,462
0.9166206,082
0.9153216,403
0.8436207,023
0.8382007,223
0.799707,293
0.795507,343

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
bigdickprickYes9,455.73
pingentfan1Yes1,500
lissartterYes1,317.65
Andycjs90Yes1,297.27
OverlookHotelYes1,204.64
bobj30888Yes938.31
0x7da9…5741Yes764.93
abcmartYes642.78
bssourceYes570.42
StrattonmoonboiYes485.82
0xd27b…9947Yes469.67
wind2005Yes437.07
manthansYes418.93
JJoyce1904Yes378.89
murkotYes373.72
HerrieDavisYes342.34
Abcde12345Yes320.6
0xfEcc2aD544562E02786A8f061B095C116e4E7551-1781813040284Yes320
StanGrossmanYes311.88
MCGAAAAAYes309.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:41:52SELLNo0.9631$0.99
18:41:40BUYNo0.97699998341$1.00
09:29:44BUYNo0.9820$20.00
17:45:29BUYNo0.9792176097101$99.00
15:33:49BUYNo0.976999991$1.27
13:23:32SELLNo0.962124$119.29
07:20:40SELLNo0.95216$15.23
07:20:14SELLNo0.9525$4.76
06:59:53SELLNo0.95175$71.33
06:57:50SELLNo0.95125$23.77
06:56:52SELLNo0.95120$19.02
06:46:01SELLNo0.95231$29.51
06:42:26SELLNo0.95229$27.61
17:45:33BUYYes0.0451954308221$10.00
20:32:29SELLNo0.97560$58.50
20:32:11SELLNo0.97630$29.28
20:31:54SELLNo0.97720$19.54
19:16:42BUYYes0.02320$0.46
18:33:54SELLNo0.974634677228$222.21
05:28:17SELLNo0.9776$6.32
01:34:20SELLYes0.0220$0.40
22:00:03SELLNo0.9775$5.18
18:56:14BUYYes0.02320$0.46
18:27:08SELLYes0.02250825541,076$24.21
17:58:12BUYYes0.0486188283206$10.00