PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

murkot

0x11c2fcbd003c63b0cd583c6f7b2ebc3c9bc3c07e

Realised P&L
$-629.92
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$242.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-26.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 19:12Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?BUY0.1299999996$12.83
09-30 19:12Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?BUY0.16$15.00
09-30 19:08Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?BUY0.0802748504$30.00
09-30 18:24Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.129999999$4.00
09-27 14:55Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2941176471$30.00
09-27 12:19Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.32$35.00
09-26 17:37Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999984$50.00
09-26 17:23Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3386454179$50.00
04-28 23:41Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.2599999646$5.00
04-28 23:39Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
04-28 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00
04-28 23:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
04-28 23:34Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.3265063455$5.00
04-28 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.0882352791$5.00
04-28 22:51Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETBUY0.2299999692$5.00