murkot
0x11c2fcbd003c63b0cd583c6f7b2ebc3c9bc3c07e
- Realised P&L
- $-629.92
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $242.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.38at 0.336Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$4.56at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$1.61at 0.717Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$-5.27at 0.274Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:12 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $12.83 |
| 09-30 19:12 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 19:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.0802748504 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 18:24 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.129999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 14:55 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2941176471 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 12:19 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $35.00 |
| 09-26 17:37 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 17:23 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3386454179 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 23:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 23:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 23:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 23:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3265063455 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0882352791 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 22:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |