PolyBot

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Traders

abcmart

0x015597ab022aea941f39fd4b6653d0d4b0e7aa3e

Realised P&L
$-372.84
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$588.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.7430.649$569.33−$82.46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0780.030$19.60−$30.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:36Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?BUY0.07778653$50.00
10-06 00:34Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.743$4.46
07-30 02:25Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?SELL0.91$133.91
05-10 12:27US-China trade deal in 2025?BUY0.1$50.60
05-10 12:25US-China trade deal in 2025?BUY0.09$18.36
05-10 12:24US-China trade deal in 2025?BUY0.08$16.16
05-10 11:58Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?BUY0.1115438356$81.43
02-08 01:11Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.8799999997$129.50
02-07 13:54Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?SELL0.08$56.97
02-07 05:14Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?BUY0.7899999997$50.00
02-07 05:12Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?BUY0.936788732$100.00
02-05 01:32Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?BUY0.9029999978$150.00
01-28 05:22Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?SELL0.972$100.84
01-20 15:32No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?SELL0.9626122541$213.35
01-18 06:40Was Trump hacked?BUY0.089999996$20.00