abcmart
0x015597ab022aea941f39fd4b6653d0d4b0e7aa3e
- Realised P&L
- $-372.84
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $588.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No | 0.743 | 0.649 | $569.33 | −$82.46 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.030 | $19.60 | −$30.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.71at 0.759Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$24.09at 0.901Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
- +$22.86at 0.916Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?
- +$12.21at 0.907No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
- +$10.76at 0.790Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:36 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.07778653 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 00:34 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.743 | $4.46 |
| 07-30 02:25 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | SELL | 0.91 | $133.91 |
| 05-10 12:27 | US-China trade deal in 2025? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.60 |
| 05-10 12:25 | US-China trade deal in 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.36 |
| 05-10 12:24 | US-China trade deal in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.16 |
| 05-10 11:58 | Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31? | BUY | 0.1115438356 | $81.43 |
| 02-08 01:11 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.8799999997 | $129.50 |
| 02-07 13:54 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.08 | $56.97 |
| 02-07 05:14 | Will Trump remove tariff on China before May? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 02-07 05:12 | Will Trump remove tariff on China before March? | BUY | 0.936788732 | $100.00 |
| 02-05 01:32 | Will Trump remove tariff on China before March? | BUY | 0.9029999978 | $150.00 |
| 01-28 05:22 | Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $100.84 |
| 01-20 15:32 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.9626122541 | $213.35 |
| 01-18 06:40 | Was Trump hacked? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |