wind2005
0x5e7f0096ed9d5ff7ff86590c0669fbcc445e7bfd
- Realised P&L
- $-604.10
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $258.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.155 | $93.77 | −$6.23 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.040 | $60.77 | +$0.77 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.123 | $56.03 | +$2.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.032 | $19.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.170 | $13.79 | +$2.43 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.030 | $13.33 | −$14.20 |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.042 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$709.25at 0.183Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$405.18at 0.227Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$157.07at 0.215Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2AM ET
- +$105.26at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12AM ET
- +$72.53at 0.147Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 5AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 12:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 08:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1199224497 | $12.00 |
| 11-01 07:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1209999972 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 07:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1211803352 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 07:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1219999987 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 03:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1652972552 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 03:08 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1146560316 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 03:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 31? | SELL | 0.0036677611 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 02:56 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.1395238095 | $2.93 |
| 11-01 02:55 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.1398354213 | $5.69 |
| 11-01 02:45 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 22:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |