PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Abcde12345

0x5d9243aa5aca7dd5b568e72e2c825b048d61d298

Realised P&L
$518.10
Volume
$58.5k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$110.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes0.6920.215$65.58−$145.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.5070.102$30.60−$121.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes0.0850.030$9.78−$17.40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1200.024$4.70−$19.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.5210.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$105.84
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$94.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6720.000$0.00−$336.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$67.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.4920.000$0.00−$80.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$18.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$54.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9620.000$0.00−$288.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:37Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?BUY0.695265$166.86
10-01 07:37Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?BUY0.68$44.21
10-01 07:34Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?BUY0.9171628333$550.30
10-01 07:26Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?BUY0.92$276.00
10-01 06:36Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.507$152.10
10-01 06:19Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?BUY0.9$270.00
09-30 20:45Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?BUY0.081$16.20
09-29 18:06Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?BUY0.091$10.98
09-28 08:34Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.909$167.87
09-28 06:55Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.903$19.80
09-28 06:54Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.9$503.69
09-28 06:54Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.899$14.11
07-18 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.4779561401$80.00
07-18 18:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.4699999995$80.00
07-18 18:04Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.4917434098$80.00