Abcde12345
0x5d9243aa5aca7dd5b568e72e2c825b048d61d298
- Realised P&L
- $518.10
- Volume
- $58.5k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $110.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$579.57at 0.568New Pope before July?
- +$547.19at 0.035Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$443.33at 0.670New Pope in 2025?
- +$378.43at 0.309US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$281.99at 0.436US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:37 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.695265 | $166.86 |
| 10-01 07:37 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $44.21 |
| 10-01 07:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9171628333 | $550.30 |
| 10-01 07:26 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $276.00 |
| 10-01 06:36 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.507 | $152.10 |
| 10-01 06:19 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $270.00 |
| 09-30 20:45 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.081 | $16.20 |
| 09-29 18:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.091 | $10.98 |
| 09-28 08:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.909 | $167.87 |
| 09-28 06:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.903 | $19.80 |
| 09-28 06:54 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $503.69 |
| 09-28 06:54 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.899 | $14.11 |
| 07-18 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4779561401 | $80.00 |
| 07-18 18:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999995 | $80.00 |
| 07-18 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4917434098 | $80.00 |