bssource
0x5653fbb466028bd41e3a7adc04abcf7b04cee1ad
- Realised P&L
- $190.61
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $248.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No | 0.585 | 0.575 | $166.75 | −$2.86 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.064 | $61.94 | −$14.33 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.495 | $19.80 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.36at 0.177Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
- +$9.25at 0.115Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:43 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.083 | $16.60 |
| 09-30 17:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.075 | $7.50 |
| 09-30 17:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.074 | $3.34 |
| 09-30 17:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.073 | $15.91 |
| 09-29 17:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.084 | $8.06 |
| 09-29 17:01 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.076 | $6.33 |
| 09-25 20:44 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.232 | $41.22 |
| 09-25 16:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | SELL | 0.105 | $15.75 |
| 09-25 14:46 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $19.25 |
| 09-25 14:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1861669481 | $33.07 |
| 09-25 06:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | SELL | 0.1294194955 | $38.28 |
| 09-24 22:19 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.297 | $56.43 |
| 09-24 15:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.21795 | $65.39 |
| 09-24 09:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.087 | $4.35 |
| 09-24 09:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.086 | $13.30 |