PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7da9fefeb549ca86c2a4da0a09e15ce42c1f5741

Realised P&L
$25.92
Volume
$854.90
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$78.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.1170.081$20.76$9.24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes0.3600.335$18.61$1.39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3800.525$14.51+$4.01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4900.655$13.37+$3.37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3340.366$10.97+$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.23$6.97
09-15 23:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?SELL0.25$5.45
09-15 13:41Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
09-15 13:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?SELL0.137$1.50
09-15 05:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.16$1.76
09-15 05:56Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.1059999996$10.00
09-15 05:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.276$2.26
09-13 06:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3799999993$10.50
09-12 14:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-11 05:42Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.1049999992$10.00
09-10 23:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.339$4.61
09-10 23:54Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
09-10 23:48Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
09-10 23:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.35$4.36
09-10 23:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.878$12.14