PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.43. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.33. Range 0.33 to 0.56. 18 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.442020
0.45203223
0.5126249
0.5315264
0.5528293
0.9110303
0.9210313
0.9328341
0.9432373
0.9569442
0.9711453
0.9869521

Spread0.02Mid0.43

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.42120120
0.41163283
0.40124406
0.3839445
0.345450
0.275455
0.225460
0.1020480
0.0929509
0.0849558
0.0742600
0.0671671

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.58120120
0.59163283
0.60124406
0.6239445
0.665450
0.735455
0.785460
0.9020480
0.9129509
0.9249558
0.9342600
0.9471671

Spread0.02Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.562020
0.55203223
0.4926249
0.4715264
0.4528293
0.0910303
0.0810313
0.0728341
0.0632373
0.0569442
0.0311453
0.0269521

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes171.25
0x1AA15e52Bcf1951a1E1019E29EfB2769fB83A37b-1764619995301Yes117.65
TyphoonStruggleYes100
rocky42023Yes50
0xa578…6702Yes31.12
2samYes30
DogDooDooYes22.73
0x9140…f62cYes20
Deadly1Yes20
hih999Yes20
AJSVYes16
bullbull88Yes13.34
commeowderNo203.73
stanmktmakerNo199.99
Adventure142No48.06
bakayo33 - 9934No40
Vagabund97No38.64
pootytherewardfarmerNo21
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmmNo19.73
PetterSNo16.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:20:57BUYNo0.5950$29.50
13:20:57BUYNo0.5585274628204$113.79
13:00:57BUYYes0.447$3.20
12:44:42BUYYes0.44100$44.00
12:24:10SELLYes0.429$3.81
11:35:44BUYYes0.439999994723$10.00
11:28:09BUYYes0.4117$6.95
11:27:50BUYYes0.41180$73.80
09:16:30SELLNo0.5820$11.60
06:31:05BUYNo0.589999984117$10.00
06:16:47BUYNo0.58100$58.00
05:26:30SELLNo0.5720$11.40
05:15:38BUYNo0.58100$57.99
04:17:12SELLYes0.4163607843446$185.80
04:06:42BUYNo0.51150$76.50
04:06:42BUYNo0.5119$9.92
03:37:59SELLYes0.4620$9.20
03:37:28SELLYes0.540$20.00
03:31:35SELLYes0.4620$9.20
03:30:56SELLYes0.540$20.00
03:25:48BUYNo0.5160$30.60
03:19:22BUYNo0.498571428670$34.90
03:14:47SELLNo0.4815$7.20
03:05:01SELLYes0.535$2.65
03:04:56SELLYes0.5240$20.80