stanmktmaker
0xf0cebffe852c76ba01418fd26677f4998f53ee0b
- Realised P&L
- $-962.82
- Volume
- $64.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $261.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.240US-China trade deal before June?
- +$54.83at 0.440Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
- +$52.92at 0.375Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
- +$44.55at 0.460Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in September?
- +$25.24at 0.601Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 06:20 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.164 | $28.01 |
| 10-07 14:10 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 10-07 07:54 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $18.25 |
| 10-07 06:51 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 10-06 15:21 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | SELL | 0.51 | $20.90 |
| 10-06 11:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 04:44 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.268 | $13.40 |
| 10-06 04:42 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 10-06 04:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $16.47 |
| 10-05 19:58 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 10-05 08:53 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-05 08:53 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 10-05 08:30 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 10-05 08:22 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $17.75 |
| 10-02 10:07 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |