Deadly1
0x9e4c79074eb36ef50dbeacdde77c56a4a029b33c
- Realised P&L
- $-621.54
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $190.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China tariff agreement by September 30? · Yes | 0.795 | 0.815 | $81.50 | +$2.00 |
| US x China tariff agreement by October 31? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.900 | $45.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.195 | $20.56 | −$4.67 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? · No | 0.820 | 0.790 | $15.80 | −$0.60 |
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.353 | 0.315 | $9.16 | −$1.11 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.440 | $8.80 | +$0.20 |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? · No | 0.500 | 0.860 | $8.60 | +$3.60 |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.140 | $1.40 | −$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.14at 0.495Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$158.36at 0.612Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$156.63at 0.621Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$119.08at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?
- +$109.50at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.9899999707 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 02:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $2.94 |
| 09-23 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 18:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9799999647 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $11.54 |
| 09-23 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $5.24 |
| 09-23 08:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.6762090541 | $18.37 |
| 09-23 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999676 | $25.00 |
| 09-23 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $2.14 |
| 09-23 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |