hih999
0xd2fe4def177d5c653ff1a9c86b2068b53d3e25d6
- Realised P&L
- $-23.77
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $76.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes | 0.685 | 0.705 | $28.20 | +$0.80 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.420 | $16.80 | −$2.60 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · No | 0.570 | 0.580 | $11.60 | +$0.20 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? · No | 0.502 | 0.453 | $9.05 | −$0.99 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.300 | $6.00 | −$0.20 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.065 | $2.89 | −$1.56 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.042 | $2.08 | −$2.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.02at 0.800Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$-0.06at 0.058Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$-0.17at 0.936Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$-0.26at 0.761Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$-0.34at 0.240Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:12 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.95 |
| 07-28 22:24 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.95 |
| 07-27 21:39 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.53 | $8.45 |
| 07-27 21:39 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.45 | $7.63 |
| 07-27 21:36 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.4699999912 | $7.97 |
| 07-23 02:11 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 07-22 23:15 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 23:09 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.94 |
| 07-22 08:41 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 07-22 07:06 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 03:29 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $1.03 |
| 07-21 19:21 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.84 |
| 07-21 19:03 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-21 17:30 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $13.73 |
| 07-21 17:24 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.64 |