bakayo33 - 9934
0x343d12f9524dc527979a28390ad138ec6fe1cd2e
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $661.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,368
- Open portfolio
- $17.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,368
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.488No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
- +$848.38at 0.676Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$651.48at 0.810Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
- +$495.01at 0.708Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
- +$409.55at 0.810Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:43 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 11-01 22:29 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.36 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 11-01 22:04 | Will the Buffalo Bills make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.38 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will the Carolina Panthers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.71 | $11.71 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.71 | $28.40 |
| 11-01 22:02 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 11-01 22:02 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $307.06 |
| 11-01 22:02 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $113.84 |
| 11-01 22:02 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.7 | $25.49 |
| 11-01 22:01 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 11-01 21:47 | Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.7 | $42.00 |
| 11-01 19:56 | Nothing Ever Happens: November | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 11-01 18:27 | Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |