PolyBot

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Traders

TyphoonStruggle

0x49f4d3ca972a917ece8d0ffdb3657142fa7ca7c9

Realised P&L
$775.32
Volume
$73.2k
Markets traded
422
Open portfolio
$650.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded422
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6970.881$176.30+$36.90
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.7800.877$176.24+$19.38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? · Yes0.6300.915$91.50+$28.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · Yes0.4400.555$55.50+$11.50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2020.443$44.30+$24.10
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2830.215$32.25−$10.25
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs · Canadiens0.4900.505$25.25+$0.75
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.5000.495$24.75−$0.25
Rangers vs. Bruins · Bruins0.5000.495$24.75−$0.25
Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5) · Miami (FL)0.5000.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$25.00
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$43.50
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · France0.8770.000$0.00−$43.88
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks0.5700.000$0.00−$28.50
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State: 1H Moneyline · Oregon0.8500.000$0.00−$42.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 14:29Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.79$14.46
09-24 12:52Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.784$117.60
09-24 12:44Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?BUY0.44$44.00
09-24 12:44Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?BUY0.63$63.00
09-24 12:42Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.783$78.29
09-23 18:51Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.202$20.20
09-19 14:28Spread: Delaware (-5.5)SELL0.49$24.50
09-19 14:07Spread: Georgia (-24.5)SELL0.5$25.00
09-19 14:05Spread: Delaware (-5.5)BUY0.5$25.00
09-19 14:02Spread: Delaware (-4.5)SELL0.52$26.00
09-19 12:38Spread: Delaware (-4.5)BUY0.52$26.00
09-18 08:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.89$11.81
09-18 08:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?SELL0.74$74.00
09-18 08:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?SELL0.88$88.00
09-18 08:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 14 2026?SELL0.9016718552$78.20