PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.05. down 0.36 over the period, from 0.41. Range 0.04 to 0.41. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.061,4001,400
0.079632,362
0.082832,645
0.101,0003,645
0.11943,739
0.33483,787
0.34203,808
0.95203,828
0.98113,839
0.9983,847

Spread0.02Mid0.05

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.041,3101,310
0.031,0652,374
0.025332,907
0.015,0087,915

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.961,3101,310
0.971,0652,374
0.985332,907
0.995,0087,915

Spread0.02Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.941,4001,400
0.939632,362
0.922832,645
0.901,0003,645
0.89943,739
0.67483,787
0.66203,808
0.05203,828
0.02113,839
0.0183,847

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes240.5
intelligence98Yes220.86
MFS-000Yes150.48
FihdrzgddYes80
pootytherewardfarmerYes74.11
LornaPredictsYes53.36
nana130299Yes51.04
a5533Yes49.99
romanew-1-newYes48.08
AJSVYes21.1
monoclithYes20.23
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes20.21
HaradwaithYes19.8
lissartterYes15.72
frontiertradeYes8.2
AlAhmedaNo471.36
uncoNo318.37
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No100.33
0x81c37C244428d0Fa361CBbEb088232Cd90a9830A-1763505080450No58.03
anthonytruNo48.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:22:01SELLNo0.945$4.70
07:39:36BUYNo0.9650$48.00
22:52:58SELLYes0.0421$0.86
22:52:55BUYNo0.9650$48.32
18:25:30BUYNo0.961$1.00
11:58:58SELLNo0.941$0.61
04:48:58SELLYes0.030$0.01
04:48:42BUYNo0.9613$12.48
04:48:42BUYNo0.9613$12.95
04:48:40SELLYes0.0444056745113$5.04
04:20:18SELLNo0.9419$17.39
04:20:09BUYYes0.0669$4.11
03:29:51BUYYes0.0545$2.25
12:03:13SELLYes0.04150$2.05
12:03:10BUYNo0.93318$296.08
08:15:21SELLNo0.9253$48.42
19:21:43BUYYes0.07150$10.50
11:56:01SELLNo0.9121$19.11
07:01:37BUYNo0.9221$19.32
07:01:33BUYNo0.9243$40.00
20:44:18SELLYes0.0817$1.35
18:57:13BUYNo0.925$4.60
15:57:12SELLNo0.920$18.00
15:27:52SELLNo0.880$0.18
14:37:01SELLNo0.8935$31.15