Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://ir.tesla.com/press
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.11. Range 0.07 to 0.16. 64 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	228	228
0.17	52	280
0.19	9	288
0.21	505	793
0.23	5	798
0.31	20	818
0.51	20	838
0.64	40	878
0.73	30	908
0.74	80	988
0.87	141	1,129
0.93	10	1,140

Spread0.07Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	178	178
0.08	100	278
0.07	142	420
0.03	100	520
0.02	259	779
0.01	215	994

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	178	178
0.92	100	278
0.93	142	420
0.97	100	520
0.98	259	779
0.99	215	994

Spread0.07Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	228	228
0.83	52	280
0.81	9	288
0.79	505	793
0.77	5	798
0.69	20	818
0.49	20	838
0.36	40	878
0.27	30	908
0.26	80	988
0.13	141	1,129
0.07	10	1,140

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Started-with-20-USD	Yes	70.26
AJSV	Yes	60.83
ImSweating	Yes	45.53
2B9S	Yes	45.26
Dr.PNL	Yes	27.75
Lucerys	Yes	23.91
S888	Yes	20
zoukmachine38	Yes	10.27
0x655B4319bC062Dab138C5F07c4EEf7292d8A99A4-1778209386744	Yes	9.09
arbman69	Yes	5
yegdrasil	Yes	5
a5533	Yes	3.14
0xa5ef…2966	No	159.48
Quantum777	No	130.3
cigarettes	No	31.81
0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:45:27	BUY	No	0.92	5	$4.60
08:50:24	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.64
04:26:00	BUY	Yes	0.109999989	9	$1.00
00:53:33	SELL	Yes	0.1045584046	88	$9.18
19:53:59	BUY	No	0.89	130	$115.97
17:09:50	SELL	No	0.87	0	$0.26
16:10:08	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.20
16:10:08	BUY	No	0.8599999982	22	$18.80
16:10:08	SELL	Yes	0.14	6	$0.88
16:10:06	SELL	Yes	0.14	62	$8.69
16:10:05	BUY	No	0.86	62	$53.41
16:10:05	BUY	No	0.8599999977	26	$22.62
12:20:35	BUY	Yes	0.16	46	$7.28
05:17:30	BUY	Yes	0.1322905983	88	$11.61
20:22:23	BUY	No	0.95	17	$16.15
16:22:08	BUY	No	0.96	12	$11.34
16:16:56	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.20
03:19:17	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.29
01:29:39	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
23:56:33	BUY	No	0.79	5	$3.95