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Traders

arbman69

0x4daab14a2e480a98ff1f1933ab2add3e65d9e818

Realised P&L
$-534.83
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$37.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:44Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$22.00
09-17 17:49Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
09-17 16:18Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$8.50
09-17 15:59Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September?SELL0.12$2.40
09-17 14:34Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?SELL0.17$8.50
09-17 14:00Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?SELL0.24$5.16
09-17 14:00Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?SELL0.23$2.30
09-17 13:54Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?SELL0.24$4.44
09-17 06:04Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.24$4.80
09-17 05:53Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.53$7.89
09-17 05:53Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.55$2.82
09-17 05:40Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?SELL0.09$0.99
09-17 02:46Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?SELL0.17$3.40
09-17 01:07Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.09$0.00
09-17 00:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.21$4.20