zoukmachine38
0x1a93ed90452e38b4a481460f4f6c05bbf4df24e0
- Realised P&L
- $773.10
- Volume
- $88.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,684
- Open portfolio
- $223.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,684
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$239.90at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 5?
- +$189.70at 0.559Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $135-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28?
- +$130.62at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?
- +$127.61at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 28?
- +$124.34at 0.021Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |
| 09-17 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.7199999527 | $3.65 |
| 09-16 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7199999921 | $7.30 |
| 09-16 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.31 |
| 09-16 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7699999872 | $7.80 |
| 09-16 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7799999769 | $4.05 |
| 09-16 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7799999882 | $7.90 |
| 09-16 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-16 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7699999872 | $7.80 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7899999774 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.18 |
| 09-16 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.93 |