PolyBot

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Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://ir.tesla.com/press
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. down 0.27 over the period, from 0.67. Range 0.15 to 0.67. 61 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.42261261
0.43250511
0.44420931
0.4521951
0.5114965
0.5223988
0.535993
0.57401,033
0.60401,073
0.61201,093
0.62121,105
0.72401,145

Spread0.03Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39282282
0.38205487
0.3557544
0.3421565
0.1741606
0.1620626
0.0687713
0.0226739
0.0135774

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61282282
0.62205487
0.6557544
0.6621565
0.8341606
0.8420626
0.9487713
0.9826739
0.9935774

Spread0.03Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.58261261
0.57250511
0.56420931
0.5521951
0.4914965
0.4823988
0.475993
0.43401,033
0.40401,073
0.39201,093
0.38121,105
0.28401,145

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Lk7600Yes300
Started-with-20-USDYes98.11
gfdgfvfvssddYes60
0x49F8ABF43e6b887d14c3Df54A111edC529332043-1782114626937Yes54.35
S888Yes47.55
aliizYes41.2
anotherpootlingYes34
vaxastadnykYes30.04
ImSweatingYes20
a5533Yes20
tradetosurvive1Yes12.16
NuoseklumasYes11.39
BASSATS01Yes7.5
0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195Yes5
Zerp0018Yes4.76
0xbcad…1dcfYes4.74
0xe07d…814fYes4.55
0xe387…8e20Yes4.55
0xeb18…3939Yes4.55
0xf8ec…253bYes4.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:46:12BUYYes0.4199999795$2.00
10:19:24BUYYes0.41999993255$1.99
09:45:27BUYNo0.625$3.10
09:43:21SELLYes0.3818$6.98
09:43:18SELLYes0.4100370077113$46.54
09:43:18BUYNo0.627$4.13
09:07:09SELLYes0.430$0.06
00:01:39SELLNo0.5520$11.00
23:11:18BUYNo0.549999966210$5.70
21:59:15SELLYes0.459$3.98
21:54:33SELLYes0.4612$5.43
21:51:59SELLYes0.4616$7.24
17:53:48SELLYes0.420$8.00
16:38:32SELLNo0.593927291378$46.40
16:17:29BUYNo0.6423$14.72
16:15:44SELLYes0.355$1.75
16:15:35SELLNo0.6410$6.22
16:14:38SELLYes0.3520$7.00
16:10:05BUYYes0.300562235774$232.49
15:36:32BUYNo0.75999990881$1.00
15:36:32BUYNo0.75999990881$1.00
15:36:27BUYYes0.254$1.00
15:36:23BUYNo0.75999990881$1.00
15:35:26BUYNo0.75999990881$1.00
15:35:24BUYYes0.254$1.00