PolyBot

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Traders

0xbcadc78ff5175c59005c32fa1e637c38427d1dcf

0xbcadc78ff5175c59005c32fa1e637c38427d1dcf

Realised P&L
$2.41
Volume
$58.12
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$16.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.964$2.30+$0.34
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8400.925$2.16+$0.20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.963$2.10+$0.14
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8500.855$2.01+$0.01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.984$2.00+$0.04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.845$1.99−$0.01
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes0.4200.405$1.92−$0.07
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? · No0.3100.290$1.87−$0.13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.9400.000$0.00−$1.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:19Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.4199999325$1.99
09-27 16:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8499997025$2.00
09-27 16:24NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$2.00
09-27 16:10Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
08-14 08:45Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.09$0.55
08-07 18:49Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6699999859$3.32
04-20 10:53Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.8399996229$1.96
04-19 19:18Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8999998163$1.96
04-19 19:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.94$1.96
04-19 19:16Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.32$1.96
04-19 19:11Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.8229998459$1.96
04-14 17:01Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6699999932$5.88
04-09 17:40Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6899997113$1.96
04-09 17:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8199998159$1.96
04-09 16:44Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.961999999$1.96