0xe3878e037ca047fbc90eb7fef4f609e0782e8e20
0xe3878e037ca047fbc90eb7fef4f609e0782e8e20
- Realised P&L
- $-1.03
- Volume
- $11.89
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $5.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.675 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.920 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.755 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.315 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.375 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.03at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:00 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 13:00 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:00 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 11:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |