Lk7600
0x62f6e32528e89b97dceab36b43b7821283696300
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $64.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No | 0.705 | 0.895 | $2.6k | +$553.80 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.805 | $434.24 | +$24.27 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · No | 0.807 | 0.905 | $279.68 | +$30.36 |
| Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.520 | 0.625 | $11.25 | +$1.89 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 · Yes | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.2k |
| Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.14 |
| Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026? · No | 0.652 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$212.00 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.414Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
- +$1.4kat 0.812Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026
- +$663.24at 0.611Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
- +$637.07at 0.803Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
- +$331.00at 0.417Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:22 | Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.36 |
| 07-02 23:52 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $222.00 |
| 07-01 08:20 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.608 | $12.16 |
| 07-01 08:20 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.612 | $21.42 |
| 07-01 08:19 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.603 | $6.03 |
| 07-01 08:19 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.5865562246 | $448.07 |
| 07-01 08:18 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | SELL | 0.9786046286 | $342.51 |
| 06-30 19:14 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.3879439719 | $3.6k |
| 06-30 19:13 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.6150852333 | $1.7k |
| 06-27 21:35 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.3081976885 | $94.13 |
| 06-27 21:30 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.1591288383 | $44.46 |
| 06-27 21:29 | Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 06-27 21:28 | Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.892597306 | $892.59 |
| 06-27 20:08 | Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.6047286225 | $481.82 |
| 06-27 04:07 | Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.2522506282 | $153.60 |