PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x49F8ABF43e6b887d14c3Df54A111edC529332043-1782114626937

0x49f8abf43e6b887d14c3df54a111edc529332043

Realised P&L
$7.44
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$22.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Yes0.9200.405$22.01−$27.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 04:55Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026BUY0.92$50.00
09-17 11:30Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.9346822071$50.00
09-14 06:52Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.92$50.00
09-11 20:41Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.996$54.51
09-09 09:40Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.9135322705$50.00
09-08 07:50Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.7249999985$50.00
09-04 15:49Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.9562357755$50.00
09-03 04:13Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.947810437$50.00
08-31 12:39Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
08-21 09:01Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.956$10.00
08-21 09:01Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.956$10.00
08-17 13:28Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.9309999998$50.00
08-12 16:47Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.6799999989$25.00
08-12 08:47Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?SELL0.54$29.67
08-10 06:36Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.9099999993$50.00