Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://ir.tesla.com/press
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.05 to 0.24. 64 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	147	147
0.26	604	751
0.32	50	801
0.40	60	861
0.41	45	906
0.73	20	926
0.74	130	1,056
0.92	9	1,065
0.93	150	1,215
0.94	250	1,465
0.95	375	1,840
0.96	469	2,308

Spread0.13Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	8	8
0.11	100	108
0.09	120	228
0.07	100	328
0.05	177	505
0.03	200	705
0.02	5	710
0.01	10	720

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	8	8
0.89	100	108
0.91	120	228
0.93	100	328
0.95	177	505
0.97	200	705
0.98	5	710
0.99	10	720

Spread0.13Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	147	147
0.74	604	751
0.68	50	801
0.60	60	861
0.59	45	906
0.27	20	926
0.26	130	1,056
0.08	9	1,065
0.07	150	1,215
0.06	250	1,465
0.05	375	1,840
0.04	469	2,308

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
MaxEnt	Yes	211.73
S888	Yes	98.6
Started-with-20-USD	Yes	58.42
AJSV	Yes	41.72
zoukmachine38	Yes	10.27
MakNak	Yes	5.56
Zerp0018	Yes	5.26
Lucerys	Yes	4.74
0xa5ef…2966	No	159.48
thursdays	No	132.64
pootytherewardfarmer	No	38.2
cigarettes	No	31.81
Haradwaith	No	20.1
a5533	No	20
gfdgfvfvssdd	No	20
Lk7600	No	15.96

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:46:00	BUY	Yes	0.1899999962	5	$1.00
10:17:45	BUY	No	0.88	133	$116.72
09:45:27	BUY	Yes	0.2576146723	21	$5.40
09:45:27	BUY	Yes	0.19	212	$40.23
07:17:02	BUY	Yes	0.1799999856	6	$1.00
23:24:54	SELL	No	0.85	22	$18.70
21:59:30	BUY	Yes	0.15	11	$1.65
21:58:41	BUY	Yes	0.15	14	$2.02
21:57:45	BUY	Yes	0.14	34	$4.76
21:52:45	BUY	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
21:52:32	BUY	Yes	0.09	20	$1.81
16:10:05	BUY	No	0.96	26	$25.22
16:10:05	BUY	No	0.96	62	$59.62
20:22:23	BUY	No	0.95	16	$15.53
16:22:08	BUY	No	0.96	12	$11.34
16:16:56	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.20