PolyBot

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Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. Unchanged over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.003 to 0.012. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0181010
0.019300310
0.02013323
0.0357330
0.07619349
0.07750399
0.087200599
0.088167766
0.17516782
0.2315787
0.47585872
0.476100972

Spread0.015Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003100100
0.0029001,000
0.0018,3239,323

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997100100
0.9989001,000
0.9998,3239,323

Spread0.015Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9821010
0.981300310
0.98013323
0.9657330
0.92419349
0.92350399
0.913200599
0.912167766
0.82516782
0.7695787
0.52585872
0.524100972

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GluedYes566.49
Rotem1616Yes438.38
xlefgerxYes376.76
tuzinapcYes253.97
xiaoaojiangYes215
LornaPredictsYes200.12
ShMonatYes129.09
387411007415611814092217897387Yes100.91
CrazykekbrYes100
Biver52Yes100
0x4ca94a83BDbA25336C69807cceF4ff34F5D17aa1-1782717308762Yes88
prodigalmelon33Yes86.05
donthackmeYes82.92
0x940e…732eYes82.25
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes70
cry.eth2Yes63.93
2B9SYes63
jennylulu2016Yes62
0x56a8…eea2Yes60
AJSVYes58.73

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:13:19SELLYes0.00210$0.02
17:29:04SELLYes0.0023$0.01
14:59:03SELLYes0.0021$0.00
14:58:06SELLYes0.0026$0.01
11:20:07SELLYes0.00623916140$0.87
16:03:55BUYNo0.98110$9.81
05:58:49SELLYes0.01212$0.14
05:41:31BUYYes0.017432421186$1.50
21:39:54BUYNo0.99611$10.96
21:39:54BUYNo0.9968$7.97
21:39:54BUYNo0.99685$84.66
20:24:22BUYNo0.99510$9.95
20:24:22BUYNo0.9955$4.97
20:24:22BUYNo0.973730$29.21
20:24:22BUYNo0.968325$4.84
09:28:13BUYYes0.0475$0.23
09:10:45BUYYes0.0475$0.23
09:09:15BUYNo0.9549999995330$315.00
09:08:34BUYYes0.0475$0.23
09:08:25BUYYes0.0475$0.23
09:08:22BUYYes0.0475$0.23
09:08:13BUYYes0.0475$0.23
11:38:57SELLNo0.9532$1.54
13:18:28BUYNo0.95411$10.49
22:51:54BUYNo0.953666549315$14.30