0x940e48e9971c703543ddaccfd770eaf8d3c5732e
- Realised P&L
- $-126.75
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.042 | $5.73 | −$3.82 |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.060 | $4.94 | −$4.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · No | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$740.61 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.63 |
| Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$246.69 |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.44 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$244.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$836.36at 0.370Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
- +$266.66at 0.480Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
- +$-73.34at 0.439Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 23:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | SELL | 0.5719865806 | $177.32 |
| 06-13 23:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | SELL | 0.1722413627 | $53.79 |
| 06-13 23:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | SELL | 0.1711206814 | $106.89 |
| 06-11 23:44 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.2097423412 | $244.21 |
| 06-11 19:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | SELL | 0.2769146172 | $119.35 |
| 06-11 01:38 | Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5531566278 | $246.69 |
| 06-09 20:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.22 | $94.82 |
| 06-07 17:13 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999934 | $9.55 |
| 06-07 17:13 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.0699999937 | $9.72 |
| 06-07 17:11 | Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.1173206243 | $9.65 |
| 06-07 17:11 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.0699999937 | $9.72 |
| 06-07 17:11 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June? | BUY | 0.0421846663 | $9.63 |
| 06-05 14:01 | Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.3697739395 | $490.72 |
| 06-04 00:37 | Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $246.15 |
| 05-31 00:07 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.422351949 | $1.9k |