PolyBot

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Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.010. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.010. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0174141
0.018131171
0.0197178
0.03045223
0.0318231
0.032398630
0.05014644
0.23010654
0.2315659
0.602100759
0.603135894
0.60625919

Spread0.014Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0031818
0.002840858
0.0013,6994,557

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9971818
0.998840858
0.9993,6994,557

Spread0.014Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9834141
0.982131171
0.9817178
0.97045223
0.9698231
0.968398630
0.95014644
0.77010654
0.7695659
0.398100759
0.397135894
0.39425919

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xlefgerxYes618.75
balthazarYes288.82
xiaoaojiangYes220
ma99Yes175.46
2B9SYes173.72
AJSVYes140
LornaPredictsYes117.67
winproYes100.15
Biver52Yes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes96.54
0x56a8…eea2Yes90
t3uYes81.52
LavinceyYes80.4
63sdfYes72.44
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes70
cry.eth2Yes63.93
jennylulu2016Yes62
denis223Yes60.6
79fsdfsYes51.28
fang1957Yes47.77

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:07:34SELLNo0.99722$21.85
01:11:21SELLYes0.0022$0.00
02:02:04SELLYes0.0029$0.02
18:49:34SELLYes0.0021$0.00
18:47:42SELLYes0.0023$0.01
17:35:19SELLYes0.0026$0.01
16:03:55BUYNo0.99810$9.98
20:49:49SELLYes0.0025$0.01
00:53:40SELLYes0.00212$0.02
21:39:54BUYNo0.996939090911$10.97
21:39:54BUYNo0.9968$7.97
21:39:54BUYNo0.993869058885$84.48
20:24:22BUYNo0.9895$4.95
20:24:22BUYNo0.9885$4.94
20:24:22BUYNo0.98861430$29.66
20:24:22BUYNo0.98810$9.88
09:28:13BUYYes0.0315$0.15
09:10:46BUYYes0.0315$0.15
09:08:34BUYYes0.0315$0.15
09:08:27BUYYes0.0175$0.09
09:08:22BUYYes0.0165$0.08
09:08:15BUYYes0.0165$0.08
13:18:28BUYNo0.990272727311$10.89
22:51:54BUYNo0.992333555515$14.89
14:19:21BUYNo0.99310$9.93