Will Simon peak at Category 4?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-22
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.68. up 0.29 over the period, from 0.39. Range 0.30 to 0.84. 65 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	40	40
0.81	13	53
0.82	20	73
0.83	74	147
0.84	50	197
0.86	142	339
0.87	100	439
0.95	5	444
0.96	150	594
0.97	33	627
0.99	10	637

Spread0.07Mid0.68

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	57	57
0.63	50	107
0.53	18	125
0.52	19	144
0.51	18	163
0.25	60	223
0.20	60	283
0.05	5	288
0.02	701	989
0.01	27	1,016

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	57	57
0.37	50	107
0.47	18	125
0.48	19	144
0.49	18	163
0.75	60	223
0.80	60	283
0.95	5	288
0.98	701	989
0.99	27	1,016

Spread0.07Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	40	40
0.19	13	53
0.18	20	73
0.17	74	147
0.16	50	197
0.14	142	339
0.13	100	439
0.05	5	444
0.04	150	594
0.03	33	627
0.01	10	637

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Pityok1	Yes	350
shiifoo	Yes	330
Blue-Horseshoe	Yes	250.12
0xf51b…ca1b	Yes	233.7
Mr.Frog🐸	Yes	214.37
mr.fig	Yes	132
PadreMaronno	Yes	99.99
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	54.72
2B9S	Yes	50
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293	Yes	41.3
hunternicole	Yes	36.94
e2021dc	Yes	24.99
kellernicholas	Yes	24.17
AgroHolding	Yes	20.41
ViscaElBarca	Yes	20
erFiodena	Yes	11.03
pool-boys	Yes	10
0x4ca94a83BDbA25336C69807cceF4ff34F5D17aa1-1782717308762	Yes	9
SommarSmurf	Yes	3
smileudance	Yes	2.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:55:27	BUY	Yes	0.71	32	$22.72
07:41:27	BUY	Yes	0.59	21	$12.54
07:41:25	BUY	Yes	0.59	14	$8.34
07:41:25	BUY	Yes	0.59	6	$3.61
07:34:55	SELL	Yes	0.55	20	$11.00
07:06:42	SELL	Yes	0.612602	50	$30.63
06:37:09	BUY	No	0.38	7	$2.66
06:25:59	BUY	No	0.37	9	$3.36
06:14:27	SELL	Yes	0.63	2	$1.17
06:10:44	BUY	Yes	0.68	29	$19.52
05:24:41	BUY	No	0.33	20	$6.60
03:41:05	SELL	Yes	0.52	18	$9.24
03:34:26	BUY	No	0.35	70	$24.32
03:34:21	BUY	No	0.35	19	$6.72
03:34:21	BUY	No	0.34	9	$3.16
03:34:21	BUY	No	0.34	10	$3.40
03:21:38	SELL	Yes	0.66	2	$1.35
02:39:44	BUY	No	0.31	5	$1.55
02:34:53	SELL	Yes	0.69	20	$13.80
02:34:51	SELL	Yes	0.7	5	$3.50
02:34:45	SELL	Yes	0.7	50	$35.00
00:36:25	BUY	No	0.34	4	$1.50
00:36:16	BUY	No	0.23	0	$0.04
00:36:16	BUY	No	0.23	5	$1.16
00:09:15	BUY	No	0.2299999965	20	$4.55