e2021dc
0xf28dc9a9a142ffb50522a28d5956bd880b29b24b
- Realised P&L
- $592.76
- Volume
- $979.2k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $162.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.37at 0.003Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$79.99at 0.003Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
- +$79.73at 0.004Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$79.51at 0.003Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$59.14at 0.003Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:46 | Will Isaias peak at Category 3? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 10-08 09:04 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 10-08 08:15 | Will Isaias peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.149999999 | $7.39 |
| 10-08 07:45 | Will Isaias peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.1343887743 | $4.79 |
| 10-08 07:04 | Will Rachel peak at Category 3? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.88 |
| 10-08 07:04 | Will Rachel peak at Category 3? | BUY | 0.9933483439 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 06:50 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 10-08 05:06 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 10-08 04:57 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 10-07 21:04 | Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.01 |
| 10-07 11:25 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.50 |
| 10-07 11:24 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $19.24 |
| 10-07 09:49 | Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $7.19 |
| 10-07 09:48 | Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-07 09:47 | Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $20.44 |