Pityok1
0x82f3458a6a4bec624e692c92d9ed14597f509f82
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 2,247
- Open portfolio
- $0.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,247
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$4.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$3.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$869.71at 0.014Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?
- +$861.53at 0.212Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?
- +$832.83at 0.175Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?
- +$770.73at 0.592Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?
- +$722.02at 0.189Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.101 | $0.71 |
| 08-04 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.52 |
| 08-04 21:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.0744827586 | $4.32 |
| 08-04 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.0978021978 | $2.22 |
| 08-04 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.1140338846 | $2.83 |
| 08-04 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.48 |
| 08-04 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.1147793528 | $4.29 |
| 08-04 21:44 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.1261038961 | $4.85 |
| 08-04 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.31 |
| 08-04 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.4585058318 | $37.35 |
| 08-04 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.492 | $12.30 |
| 08-04 21:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.42 |
| 08-04 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.37 |
| 08-04 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $5.06 |