Pityok1
0x82f3458a6a4bec624e692c92d9ed14597f509f82
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $1.52M
- Markets traded
- 3,236
- Open portfolio
- $171.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,236
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$866.82at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?
- +$850.06at 0.220Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?
- +$828.57at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?
- +$766.25at 0.593Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?
- +$719.34at 0.192Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.3885 | $38.85 |
| 09-18 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.0211501887 | $5.60 |
| 09-18 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.18899 | $18.90 |
| 09-18 21:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.89 |
| 09-18 21:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.21180937 | $9.18 |
| 09-18 21:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.5959701493 | $39.93 |
| 09-18 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.27 |
| 09-18 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $14.17 |
| 09-18 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.0273602525 | $2.08 |
| 09-18 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-18 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.16202 | $8.10 |
| 09-18 19:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.28 |
| 09-18 19:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |