hunternicole
0x21e8b076dc7d557d18dc7aadb68a7f020fcd5647
- Realised P&L
- $372.44
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $46.34
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Simon peak at Category 4? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.775 | $28.63 | +$5.73 |
| Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.795 | $17.71 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.30at 0.705Thunder vs. Warriors
- +$2.00at 0.438Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$0.16at 0.993Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$0.15at 0.994Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.11at 0.994Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9949999877 | $14.56 |
| 01-30 15:04 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.59 |
| 01-30 12:13 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.88 |
| 01-30 12:04 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.78 |
| 12-30 14:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.64 |
| 12-30 12:54 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979998044 | $4.52 |
| 12-30 10:07 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.92 |
| 12-30 01:14 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.45 |
| 12-30 00:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999506 | $10.24 |
| 12-30 00:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999791 | $11.17 |
| 12-29 20:29 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $24.87 |
| 10-30 22:45 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.39 |
| 10-30 21:08 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.70 |
| 09-29 13:14 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.36 |
| 09-29 03:12 | Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.97 |