PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AgroHolding

0xe88fd3001e87cf386382275e059a5108514dc4fe

Realised P&L
$-200.46
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$15.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Simon peak at Category 4? · Yes0.5700.775$15.82+$4.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 11:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2?SELL0.5665656566$21.88
09-30 02:09Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 1?SELL0.47$6.03
09-25 19:16Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?SELL0.5496194125$21.52
09-22 13:38Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.08$5.92
09-21 15:57Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 23?SELL0.53$19.03
09-17 13:59Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?SELL0.53$5.63
09-16 00:02Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 17?SELL0.55$6.00
09-15 03:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16?SELL0.42$4.93
09-12 16:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 14?SELL0.5229390154$14.23
09-10 01:47Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 song this week?SELL0.19$9.12
09-09 00:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 10?SELL0.6296750149$21.12
09-06 22:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8?SELL0.5$4.96
09-06 22:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8?SELL0.53$7.95
09-06 18:59Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?SELL0.3656110819$20.85
09-05 09:43Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?SELL0.27$18.04