AgroHolding
0xe88fd3001e87cf386382275e059a5108514dc4fe
- Realised P&L
- $-200.46
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $15.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Simon peak at Category 4? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.775 | $15.82 | +$4.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 2?
- +$0.30at 0.610Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?
- +$0.01at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 22?
- +$0.00at 0.320Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.5665656566 | $21.88 |
| 09-30 02:09 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.47 | $6.03 |
| 09-25 19:16 | Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.5496194125 | $21.52 |
| 09-22 13:38 | Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $5.92 |
| 09-21 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 23? | SELL | 0.53 | $19.03 |
| 09-17 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.63 |
| 09-16 00:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.55 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.93 |
| 09-12 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.5229390154 | $14.23 |
| 09-10 01:47 | Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 song this week? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.12 |
| 09-09 00:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.6296750149 | $21.12 |
| 09-06 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.96 |
| 09-06 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 8? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 09-06 18:59 | Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America? | SELL | 0.3656110819 | $20.85 |
| 09-05 09:43 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $18.04 |