SommarSmurf
0x58a23506944db1a07b4a080ce224a798591c5c33
- Realised P&L
- $-199.86
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,047
- Open portfolio
- $21.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,047
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.02at 0.356Solana Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$38.24at 0.730Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$31.33at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$27.37at 0.663Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$26.25at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:55 | Will FC Adhyaksa Bekasi win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.71 |
| 09-18 08:06 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.08 |
| 09-18 08:06 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.86 |
| 09-11 18:21 | Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.56 |
| 09-11 13:46 | Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.65 |
| 09-01 15:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.77 |
| 09-01 15:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 08-27 18:18 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.62 |
| 08-27 18:08 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.35 |
| 08-27 08:35 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 08-27 06:12 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.71 |
| 08-21 21:51 | Will CS Herediano win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |
| 08-20 22:13 | Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.47 |
| 08-20 05:42 | Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.53 |
| 08-20 05:42 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |