Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?

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Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-31
Rewards: 30 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.43. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.31 to 0.43. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	100	100
0.45	120	220
0.46	72	292
0.47	200	492
0.48	310	802
0.54	24	826
0.55	53	879
0.56	50	929
0.62	50	979
0.97	23	1,002
0.98	50	1,052
0.99	15	1,067

Spread0.02Mid0.43

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	397	397
0.41	110	507
0.40	30	537
0.39	100	637
0.38	304	941
0.36	82	1,023
0.34	103	1,126
0.33	864	1,990
0.30	66	2,056
0.29	155	2,211
0.28	199	2,410
0.27	20	2,430

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	397	397
0.59	110	507
0.60	30	537
0.61	100	637
0.62	304	941
0.64	82	1,023
0.66	103	1,126
0.67	864	1,990
0.70	66	2,056
0.71	155	2,211
0.72	199	2,410
0.73	20	2,430

Spread0.02Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	100	100
0.55	120	220
0.54	72	292
0.53	200	492
0.52	310	802
0.46	24	826
0.45	53	879
0.44	50	929
0.38	50	979
0.03	23	1,002
0.02	50	1,052
0.01	15	1,067

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431	Yes	2,243.7
bank06	Yes	1,250.02
HippoMaro	Yes	602.81
vino1234	Yes	554.29
rocky42024	Yes	109
Te0n2	Yes	99.99
THPJBM	Yes	76.92
JJJAY	Yes	74
AJSV	Yes	47.95
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	44
50DRE	Yes	29.99
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq	Yes	15
Mojito9	Yes	10
GaioMario	No	1,099.97
DumplingBMF	No	923.82
leCommissaire	No	535.22
FoolingAround	No	516.28
Haradwaith	No	514.1
asterley	No	204.56
Digital-Boy	No	198.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:05:14	SELL	Yes	0.42	9	$3.67
00:51:05	SELL	No	0.57	50	$28.49
19:56:45	BUY	No	0.58	50	$29.00
10:47:57	BUY	No	0.579999826	2	$1.00
10:32:54	BUY	No	0.58	60	$34.80
21:53:18	BUY	Yes	0.4399999858	37	$16.10
21:51:56	SELL	No	0.56	50	$28.00
20:11:09	BUY	No	0.57	5	$2.85
19:58:29	BUY	No	0.5699999843	2	$1.09
19:58:29	SELL	No	0.55	10	$5.50
19:57:33	BUY	Yes	0.4682133709	49	$23.04
19:56:21	SELL	No	0.5695081967	61	$34.74
19:55:09	BUY	No	0.58	12	$6.96
19:54:59	BUY	No	0.58	28	$16.23
19:54:26	BUY	No	0.57	10	$5.70
19:54:21	BUY	No	0.5799998255	2	$1.13
19:54:21	BUY	No	0.5699999962	8	$4.51
19:54:21	BUY	No	0.5699998626	2	$1.12
19:54:21	BUY	No	0.5675	40	$22.70
19:54:21	SELL	No	0.57	10	$5.70
19:52:57	BUY	Yes	0.5014218009	422	$211.60
19:52:48	SELL	No	0.5005882353	94	$46.81
19:52:18	BUY	No	0.55	18	$9.63
19:52:05	BUY	No	0.57	5	$2.85
19:52:02	SELL	Yes	0.65	119	$77.27

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · PolyBot