Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.28. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.37. Range 0.28 to 0.37. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	25	25
0.30	155	180
0.31	154	334
0.32	100	434
0.33	10	444
0.34	82	526
0.35	40	566
0.36	36	602
0.37	195	798
0.51	16	814
0.52	1,502	2,316
0.53	700	3,016

Spread0.01Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	68	68
0.26	337	405
0.25	29	434
0.24	12	446
0.23	40	486
0.22	37	523
0.21	30	553
0.20	70	623
0.19	30	653
0.18	27	680
0.17	81	761
0.16	1,997	2,758

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	68	68
0.74	337	405
0.75	29	434
0.76	12	446
0.77	40	486
0.78	37	523
0.79	30	553
0.80	70	623
0.81	30	653
0.82	27	680
0.83	81	761
0.84	1,997	2,758

Spread0.01Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	25	25
0.70	155	180
0.69	154	334
0.68	100	434
0.67	10	444
0.66	82	526
0.65	40	566
0.64	36	602
0.63	195	798
0.49	16	814
0.48	1,502	2,316
0.47	700	3,016

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431	Yes	2,521.36
tightpincer	Yes	1,398.3
bank06	Yes	1,284.56
Seriip	Yes	1,105.76
mehanizator	Yes	828.61
Haradwaith	Yes	120.01
0x030Ae0ed917ef5871940D1cD31D65b3240393D5c-1778354357274	Yes	116.28
rocky42024	Yes	100.87
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	90
efedorov	Yes	80
pykue	Yes	77
THPJBM	Yes	76.92
JJJAY	Yes	72.62
littlebirdpancakes	Yes	54.74
bechamel	Yes	30
0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	Yes	30
AJSV	Yes	29.91
LovelyPanda	Yes	25.16
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	24.95
fishsouce	Yes	22.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:18:15	SELL	No	0.69	1	$0.52
23:40:15	SELL	No	0.72	41	$29.56
23:38:42	BUY	No	0.7057357204	411	$289.74
23:24:28	BUY	No	0.6799999238	7	$5.00
23:22:46	BUY	No	0.6687945088	140	$93.54
12:24:47	BUY	No	0.66	5	$3.30
04:47:16	BUY	Yes	0.37	77	$28.49
14:23:54	BUY	No	0.65	5	$3.25
13:49:53	BUY	Yes	0.37	80	$29.60
10:14:15	SELL	Yes	0.34	12	$3.94
13:10:37	BUY	No	0.66	5	$3.30
21:26:13	SELL	Yes	0.35	27	$9.59
09:07:31	SELL	Yes	0.35	40	$13.99
04:00:46	SELL	Yes	0.35	26	$9.10
05:11:31	BUY	No	0.6499999928	28	$18.00
21:47:30	SELL	No	0.62	5	$3.10
20:31:01	SELL	No	0.62	2	$1.22
20:30:52	BUY	No	0.65	3	$1.95
20:30:49	BUY	Yes	0.3823076923	26	$9.94
18:40:31	SELL	Yes	0.35	22	$7.68
18:40:28	SELL	Yes	0.36	78	$28.10
18:40:27	BUY	Yes	0.37	30	$11.10
18:40:27	SELL	Yes	0.37	130	$48.10
08:54:34	BUY	No	0.64	3	$1.92
08:54:31	BUY	Yes	0.37	5	$1.85