PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Seriip

0x1765c10c4393dc6648dd3f2d0a2c695dd649d450

Realised P&L
$293.12
Volume
$24.9k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes0.4430.345$381.49$108.75
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.1840.234$331.71+$71.98
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? · Yes0.2670.285$113.39+$7.34
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? · Yes0.2560.064$106.34$319.37
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · Yes0.2500.245$74.64$1.52
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? · Yes0.2210.185$28.93$5.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:23Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?BUY0.2801266158$47.33
09-15 17:21Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0574833914$47.33
09-10 16:50Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$12.62
09-10 16:33Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?BUY0.1$20.90
09-10 16:30Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?BUY0.22$33.56
09-09 19:21Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2127692308$55.32
09-09 12:22Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-09 12:13Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?BUY0.2565530799$58.72
09-09 11:51Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1522171544$192.23
09-08 11:55Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.1445901768$40.46
09-08 11:54Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?SELL0.25$161.35
09-08 11:19Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$53.25
09-08 11:17Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?SELL0.26625$53.25
09-07 22:59Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2451651947$78.05
09-07 22:57Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?SELL0.2802721821$78.05