fishsouce
0x353d2c3d4f129cc545da093e495e157dc7c64c58
- Realised P&L
- $-25.96
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $64.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.35at 0.658Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$12.17at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$9.26at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$7.81at 0.0830 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
- +$7.62at 0.116Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 13:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 13:26 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 13:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $1.91 |
| 08-20 18:33 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? | BUY | 0.1044633472 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 18:25 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 16:15 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.1261400922 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 16:13 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | BUY | 0.4537965828 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 16:08 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 16:07 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.333999985 | $9.00 |
| 08-16 13:56 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 13:47 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 13:46 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |