PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fishsouce

0x353d2c3d4f129cc545da093e495e157dc7c64c58

Realised P&L
$-25.96
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$64.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.5400.570$10.56+$0.56
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.4100.820$10.00+$5.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.165$9.07$1.93
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.3340.305$8.22$0.78
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes0.4540.275$6.06$3.94
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.460$4.60$0.40
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Yes0.5700.405$3.55$1.45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.310$2.98$2.02
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.3700.090$2.43$7.57
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · Yes0.1260.055$2.18$2.82
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5000.665$1.33+$0.33
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · No0.4800.635$1.32+$0.32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1820.159$0.87$0.13
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1980.035$0.53$2.47
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31? · Yes0.1300.060$0.46$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 13:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
08-23 13:26Iran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
08-23 13:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.957$1.91
08-20 18:33Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?BUY0.1044633472$1.00
08-20 18:25Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-17 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.25$1.00
08-17 09:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.5699999059$2.00
08-17 09:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.71$2.00
08-16 16:15Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.1261400922$5.00
08-16 16:13Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?BUY0.4537965828$10.00
08-16 16:08Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
08-16 16:07Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.333999985$9.00
08-16 13:56Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-16 13:47Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-16 13:46NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.16$1.00