PolyBot

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Traders

0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431

0x066ffbc222c149f8ec54fba2589137ce37662e56

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$66.3k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5980.855$2.0k+$613.90
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? · Yes0.5510.255$1.2k$1.4k
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · Yes0.4180.345$869.87$184.33
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4280.485$621.83+$72.95
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7490.410$606.22$501.92
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.5280.535$356.85+$4.48
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2990.375$240.26+$48.84
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.3400.231$237.01$112.95
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? · Yes0.2310.070$196.20$450.59
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.3490.115$125.65$256.28
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3230.310$106.96$4.35
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2880.205$102.50$41.50
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.155$86.31$64.04
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? · Yes0.4910.065$70.45$461.66
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31? · Yes0.6100.170$63.53$164.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 02:08Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$159.53
09-10 16:56Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.39$39.00
09-06 23:12Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$228.90
09-01 22:08Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.027$0.69
09-01 22:06Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$42.08
09-01 12:22Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.67$59.25
09-01 12:22Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.67$334.99
08-29 23:25Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?SELL0.016$2.89
08-26 22:51Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?SELL0.04$3.50
08-25 07:51Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?BUY0.12$5.88
08-23 20:25Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$32.00
08-23 20:24Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.064$6.40
08-23 20:08Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$5.40
08-23 20:04Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$303.75
08-22 23:40Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?BUY0.019$2.87