0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431
0x066ffbc222c149f8ec54fba2589137ce37662e56
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $81.6k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $723.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.551Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
- +$960.87at 0.598Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
- +$684.17at 0.514Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
- +$678.27at 0.340Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?
- +$326.69at 0.332Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 22:52 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.908 | $39.95 |
| 09-29 22:52 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8901537961 | $328.17 |
| 09-29 22:52 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.5657908408 | $376.82 |
| 09-29 21:20 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.457 | $5.94 |
| 09-29 21:19 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.427 | $7.11 |
| 09-29 07:42 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.284 | $17.04 |
| 09-29 07:42 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2815665635 | $90.95 |
| 09-26 16:34 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 09-26 16:33 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.073 | $18.25 |
| 09-26 16:33 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0629142247 | $19.43 |
| 09-26 16:26 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $59.14 |
| 09-26 16:26 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $59.14 |
| 09-26 16:21 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0535 | $15.00 |
| 09-26 16:21 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0463274262 | $47.19 |
| 09-26 16:14 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $50.54 |