0x066Ffbc222c149F8Ec54FBA2589137cE37662E56-1782221149431
0x066ffbc222c149f8ec54fba2589137ce37662e56
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $66.3k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$684.17at 0.514Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?
- +$326.69at 0.332Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$188.86at 0.584Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$151.14at 0.724Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$120.32at 0.357Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:08 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $159.53 |
| 09-10 16:56 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 09-06 23:12 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $228.90 |
| 09-01 22:08 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.69 |
| 09-01 22:06 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $42.08 |
| 09-01 12:22 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $59.25 |
| 09-01 12:22 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $334.99 |
| 08-29 23:25 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | SELL | 0.016 | $2.89 |
| 08-26 22:51 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $3.50 |
| 08-25 07:51 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.88 |
| 08-23 20:25 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 08-23 20:24 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $6.40 |
| 08-23 20:08 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 08-23 20:04 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $303.75 |
| 08-22 23:40 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.87 |