PolyBot

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Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.04. Range 0.04 to 0.16. 17 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.101010
0.11507517
0.121,1221,639
0.131,3302,969
0.90202,989
0.9152,995
0.921943,188
0.937143,902
0.943654,267
0.956694,936
0.969205,856
0.977556,611

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.091010
0.08506516
0.075181,034
0.061,0112,045
0.052,9404,985
0.0254,991
0.01785,069

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.911010
0.92506516
0.935181,034
0.941,0112,045
0.952,9404,985
0.9854,991
0.99785,069

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.901010
0.89507517
0.881,1221,639
0.871,3302,969
0.10202,989
0.0952,995
0.081943,188
0.077143,902
0.063654,267
0.056694,936
0.049205,856
0.037556,611

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Leclerc04Yes362.52
AJSVYes179.78
puravidaYes100.93
lissartterYes20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
sdssdsYes20
rubby1337Yes4.04
bufogodisYes3
DuneMentatNo225
SickandTiredNo113.93
AlphaGoooNo106
GoldSpirit0xNo99.97
AnjunNo55
HaradwaithNo20
2samNo20
lyx1991No20
SuSuDORISNo19.99
neymarjr.santosNo17
pibsNo10
Kicko.xicoNo4.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:23:20SELLNo0.8920$17.80
21:19:14SELLYes0.093$0.27
21:17:17SELLYes0.14$0.37
13:26:51BUYNo0.8917$15.13
13:18:10BUYNo0.8910$8.90
11:59:36SELLNo0.8816$14.36
11:59:13SELLYes0.1150$5.50
11:58:36BUYNo0.8777120304114$100.00
11:49:16SELLNo0.8620$17.03
11:39:16BUYYes0.1130$12.98
11:36:00SELLYes0.0620$1.20
11:32:52SELLYes0.0720$1.40
11:30:19BUYNo0.8605025722126$108.72
11:27:28BUYNo0.84999998764$3.43
11:26:07BUYNo0.85200$170.00
11:12:34BUYNo0.8625$21.50
11:11:43SELLYes0.145$0.70
10:37:33BUYYes0.1363$36.25
10:37:31SELLNo0.950$45.00
10:37:13SELLYes0.1240356083135$16.72
10:36:36BUYYes0.06481$28.86
10:36:36BUYYes0.0750$3.50
10:36:34BUYYes0.0760$4.20
10:36:34BUYYes0.0720$1.40
09:37:27BUYYes0.0640$2.40