pibs
0x0d9d563d3e5f10e3767a5761e0384d80114e361c
- Realised P&L
- $1.99
- Volume
- $618.27
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $62.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Babylon - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $35.00 | +$0.20 |
| Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.635 | $25.40 | −$3.40 |
| Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week? · No | 0.023 | 0.046 | $2.35 | +$1.17 |
| Will "Pink Clouding - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.005 | $0.15 | −$4.05 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.82at 0.690Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?
- +$-2.31at 0.208Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$-4.22at 0.156Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:00 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.02 |
| 09-27 15:53 | Will "Cleveland! - Taylor Swift" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 09-25 17:40 | Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 09-25 17:21 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 19:41 | Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-24 03:51 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 09-24 01:48 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.19 | $17.10 |
| 09-24 01:22 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.2 | $18.00 |