PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lyx1991

0xef4975ef415118231270a4d6a6724dce3b9e447c

Realised P&L
$-24.49
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$73.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.1600.155$23.25−$0.75
Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.9610.877$17.55−$1.67
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by October 31, 2026? · No0.8500.855$17.10+$0.10
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.455$9.10−$4.50
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.305$6.10+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 18:30Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.22$44.00
10-02 14:27Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.72$71.63
10-02 14:26Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.73$7.30
10-02 10:29Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.13$26.00
10-02 06:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.58311$116.62
10-02 06:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.58301$58.30
10-02 06:39Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.584$26.86
10-02 03:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.241$0.14
10-02 01:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.25$6.00
10-02 01:37Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.25$4.86
10-01 09:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.63$57.41
10-01 09:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.64$21.76
10-01 09:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.64$22.40
10-01 08:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.64$256.00
09-30 14:20Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.523$49.85