PolyBot

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Traders

SickandTired

0x290d0d19d90afbff047dd3585c4a716dc5f9dc40

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$409.3k
Markets traded
1,068
Open portfolio
$19.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,068
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.7290.823$6.6k+$747.75
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.9530.998$3.8k+$169.27
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.8740.830$1.4k$75.77
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.9360.946$909.09+$9.09
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? · No0.8280.948$618.81+$78.31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.9601.000$603.86+$23.87
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9140.966$567.69+$30.05
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8900.939$527.20+$27.20
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8870.889$444.74+$1.25
Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · No0.8470.843$348.15$1.85
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8550.855$337.41+$0.16
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8900.950$332.50+$21.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.8050.945$245.69+$36.30
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.4330.992$217.83+$122.73
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? · No0.9650.997$206.64+$6.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:15Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.8648043497$500.00
09-16 09:26Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?SELL0.8313985$166.28
09-15 19:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
09-15 06:54Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9964516966$600.00
09-14 21:34Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.293557706$82.51
09-14 21:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.9599999969$100.00
09-14 20:03Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.37$18.50
09-14 20:02Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.8351$100.21
09-13 22:38Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.4224272727$46.47
09-12 22:41Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.8703441475$500.00
09-12 14:35Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.8286154452$2.0k
09-12 14:34Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.575$1.2k
09-12 02:29US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben SheltonBUY0.8599999999$240.00
09-12 02:27US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben SheltonBUY0.8799999999$500.00
09-11 23:05Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.8044531346$500.00