SickandTired
0x290d0d19d90afbff047dd3585c4a716dc5f9dc40
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $409.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,068
- Open portfolio
- $19.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,068
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.120EigenLayer airdrop by June 30?
- +$979.40at 0.771US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$925.21at 0.771Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$919.38at 0.500Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$668.72at 0.776Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:15 | Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.8648043497 | $500.00 |
| 09-16 09:26 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | SELL | 0.8313985 | $166.28 |
| 09-15 19:39 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9964516966 | $600.00 |
| 09-14 21:34 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.293557706 | $82.51 |
| 09-14 21:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 20:03 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 09-14 20:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8351 | $100.21 |
| 09-13 22:38 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.4224272727 | $46.47 |
| 09-12 22:41 | Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.8703441475 | $500.00 |
| 09-12 14:35 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.8286154452 | $2.0k |
| 09-12 14:34 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.575 | $1.2k |
| 09-12 02:29 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $240.00 |
| 09-12 02:27 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-11 23:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.8044531346 | $500.00 |