PolyBot

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Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.010. Range 0.005 to 0.010. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006436436
0.01958494
0.020377871
0.0211,4082,278
0.0221,0493,327
0.030303,357
0.0551003,457
0.0631443,601
0.0731003,701
0.0743184,019
0.0843184,337
0.0943184,655

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0053,6213,621
0.0033,3336,954
0.0022,4389,392
0.00113,73323,125

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9953,6213,621
0.9973,3336,954
0.9982,4389,392
0.99913,73323,125

Spread0.001Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994436436
0.98158494
0.980377871
0.9791,4082,278
0.9781,0493,327
0.970303,357
0.9451003,457
0.9371443,601
0.9271003,701
0.9263184,019
0.9163184,337
0.9063184,655

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
suoha518Yes4,492.1
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes3,625.96
LearningPizzaYes1,525.19
planktonXDYes1,407.58
LornaPredictsYes1,199.7
thecaricatureYes1,048.56
bai1281Yes600.12
HerrieDavisYes513.82
meowtaiYes346.32
0xee67…67a6Yes342.09
MorrasYes333.79
bleakhaikuYes297.67
Hugin-og-MuninYes280
WarriorHYes265.65
Dr.PNLYes223.33
ma99Yes183
OlkaYes172.47
Huye168Yes170.11
Sir-Deadlock-a-LotYes154.33
cry.eth2Yes121

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:13:10BUYNo0.99510$9.95
21:24:30BUYNo0.99584$83.46
21:15:43BUYNo0.99584$83.46
21:13:09BUYNo0.99533$32.59
13:02:50SELLYes0.00550$0.25
17:23:55SELLYes0.0050$0.00
14:39:57SELLYes0.0051$0.00
14:39:04SELLYes0.0051$0.00
14:38:12SELLYes0.0050$0.00
22:08:54SELLYes0.0055$0.03
20:45:45BUYYes0.01280$2.80
16:55:27BUYNo0.99510$9.95
14:00:04BUYNo0.99518$17.88
14:00:04BUYNo0.99552$51.77
14:00:03BUYNo0.99530$29.85
11:43:57BUYNo0.994100$99.40
11:43:57BUYNo0.99415$14.91
11:43:57BUYNo0.99413$12.72
11:43:57BUYNo0.99410$9.94
11:43:55BUYNo0.99423$22.86
11:42:30BUYNo0.994100$99.40
11:42:03BUYNo0.9939953206293$291.01
11:42:03BUYNo0.99333$32.52
11:42:00BUYNo0.99384$83.29
11:42:00BUYNo0.993100$99.30