PolyBot

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Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.084. up 0.017 over the period, from 0.068. Range 0.046 to 0.090. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.091986986
0.0921001,086
0.0943001,386
0.0953271,712
0.0982201,932
0.1013422,275
0.1032482,523
0.1044002,923
0.1051003,023
0.1063633,386
0.1091353,521
0.1112203,741

Spread0.014Mid0.084

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0776060
0.0761,1981,258
0.0756001,858
0.0741001,958
0.0731002,058
0.0722272,285
0.0702202,505
0.0674402,945
0.0641003,045
0.0621003,145
0.0616003,745
0.0572203,965

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9236060
0.9241,1981,258
0.9256001,858
0.9261001,958
0.9271002,058
0.9282272,285
0.9302202,505
0.9334402,945
0.9361003,045
0.9381003,145
0.9396003,745
0.9432203,965

Spread0.014Mid0.916

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.909986986
0.9081001,086
0.9063001,386
0.9053271,712
0.9022201,932
0.8993422,275
0.8972482,523
0.8964002,923
0.8951003,023
0.8943633,386
0.8911353,521
0.8892203,741

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FolletinYes4,456
InterestingUserYes2,870.05
DancewithRiskYes2,745.88
bqbYes1,926.16
JesetradingYes1,400
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes1,128
bluemarioYes919.02
Trading4FridgeYes750.42
12345432Yes492.33
HerrieDavisYes449.68
Hugin-og-MuninYes360
17226804Yes222
devin.lawson.77Yes202.26
AlAhmedaYes200
Sir-Deadlock-a-LotYes189
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes180
pigmentYes129.57
Biver52Yes129.04
cry.eth2Yes116
0x5a1f…d43cYes109.89

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:46:28BUYYes0.09140$3.64
20:46:27BUYYes0.09140$3.64
20:39:46BUYYes0.09170$6.37
20:39:45BUYYes0.09170$6.37
20:39:30BUYYes0.09170$6.37
20:39:28BUYYes0.09170$6.37
20:23:27BUYYes0.0909999999110$10.00
18:37:54SELLYes0.09300$27.00
17:29:37SELLNo0.909123$112.13
16:55:27SELLNo0.9095342056445$404.57
15:42:38SELLNo0.9153$3.07
14:00:03BUYYes0.0826594100$8.27
11:43:57SELLNo0.9252319967197$182.06
11:43:57BUYNo0.9215$13.80
11:42:30SELLNo0.931130$121.03
11:42:15SELLNo0.93106$98.61
11:42:03SELLNo0.929402433326$302.54
11:42:00BUYYes0.0629138162116$7.30
11:42:00BUYYes0.05545833723,160$175.28
11:04:55SELLYes0.0481$0.03
15:50:27SELLNo0.95100$95.00
07:41:40BUYNo0.95410$9.54
00:23:24BUYNo0.95410$9.54
00:03:31BUYNo0.95445$42.95
23:52:24BUYNo0.95411$10.76