bluemario
0x34a1eed3f6bb10dd2f99b79cb4e8ca8749ae7622
- Realised P&L
- $-189.7k
- Volume
- $25.33M
- Markets traded
- 1,544
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,544
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $829.01 | +$124.00 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No | 0.923 | 0.918 | $514.22 | −$2.31 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.922 | 0.935 | $310.26 | +$4.31 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $171.42 | −$0.92 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.084 | $77.20 | −$42.27 |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.147 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.1kat 0.535Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5
- +$97.2kat 0.422Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
- +$68.0kat 0.348Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
- +$61.4kat 0.204SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
- +$39.8kat 0.221Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:08 | Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.85 | $417.20 |
| 09-17 17:59 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.16 | $104.12 |
| 09-17 17:59 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.16 | $464.01 |
| 09-17 17:59 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.16 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 17:58 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $436.05 |
| 09-17 17:57 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $28.15 |
| 09-17 17:56 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $709.38 |
| 09-17 17:56 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.1484637824 | $827.53 |
| 09-17 17:56 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $25.33 |
| 09-17 17:55 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $440.72 |
| 09-17 17:55 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $672.82 |
| 09-17 17:55 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $708.50 |
| 09-17 17:55 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $564.82 |
| 09-17 17:55 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.13 | $376.87 |
| 09-17 17:54 | OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.13 | $103.60 |