PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bluemario

0x34a1eed3f6bb10dd2f99b79cb4e8ca8749ae7622

Realised P&L
$-16.1k
Volume
$3.86M
Markets traded
824
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded824
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9100.915$915.00+$5.00
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.9230.880$492.67$23.86
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.895$475.48+$2.66
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8700.880$440.00+$5.00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8000.825$330.00+$10.00
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · No0.9400.937$171.78$0.55
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.135$124.07+$4.59
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7300.805$80.50+$7.50
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? · No0.9140.960$19.20+$0.92
FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5370.000$0.00$518.48
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FC Botoşani: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3170.000$0.00$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:53FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5BUY0.3$1.50
08-03 18:53FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5BUY0.3$3.00
08-03 18:52FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5BUY0.3$36.00
08-03 18:52FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5BUY0.3$206.10
08-03 18:32FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5BUY0.43$148.49
08-03 18:32FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5BUY0.42$67.53
08-03 17:32Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.32$247.84
08-03 17:26Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.29$163.85
08-03 17:26Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.29$675.99
08-03 17:25Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.29$935.25
08-03 17:25Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.28$370.58
08-03 17:15Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.47$35.47
08-03 17:15Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.46$6.90
08-03 17:15Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.45$2.25
08-03 17:15Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5BUY0.46$429.64