Folletin
0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2
- Realised P&L
- $77.3k
- Volume
- $2.58M
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $117.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.4kat 0.709Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$6.7kat 0.763Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$5.6kat 0.644Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$5.2kat 0.794Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.9kat 0.818Epstein client list released by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9490852893 | $3.6k |
| 10-28 22:55 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 10-14 11:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $891.00 |
| 10-13 10:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $798.38 |
| 10-05 10:35 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $137.94 |
| 10-01 13:01 | Will Fulham qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.73 |
| 09-16 14:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.2k |
| 09-14 09:45 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0599470499 | $79.25 |
| 09-14 09:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.7k |
| 09-13 21:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $682.00 |
| 09-13 21:04 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.84 | $117.60 |
| 09-02 20:36 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.1k |
| 09-02 17:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.42 | $509.04 |
| 09-02 17:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $76.53 |
| 08-25 11:11 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6563772225 | $162.07 |