PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Trading4Fridge

0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919

Realised P&L
$63.7k
Volume
$13.19M
Markets traded
2,022
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,022
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.145$310.85−$503.86
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026? · No0.3201.000$219.00+$148.83
Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $70 in 2026? · No0.8920.960$89.92+$6.30
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9200.979$83.57+$5.00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1800.063$83.54−$155.14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3380.070$80.15−$306.84
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1030.002$63.52−$4.3k
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2780.032$60.89−$475.62
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.3570.115$60.85−$128.24
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3180.155$52.65−$55.49
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? · No0.4020.196$52.38−$55.05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2330.350$41.19+$13.75
Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8290.974$38.96+$5.79
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.5990.029$35.10−$677.25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.2580.055$34.65−$128.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 13:52Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.065$22.62
10-22 17:08Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?SELL0.9$49.50
10-22 17:03Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?SELL0.04$266.79
10-22 16:57Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?SELL0.18$1.02
10-22 16:47Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?SELL0.72$2.56
10-22 16:47Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026?SELL0.95$87.24
10-22 16:44Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.92$19.23
10-22 15:59Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$130.54
10-22 15:58Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)SELL0.93$69.75
10-22 15:27Will Trump and Putin not meet?SELL0.84$84.00
10-22 15:20Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?BUY0.4$144.00
10-22 15:19Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?SELL0.991$122.70
10-22 15:16Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.84$82.74
10-22 15:15Trump meets with Putin by November 30?SELL0.81$189.74
10-22 15:05UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?SELL0.982$4.01