PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Trading4Fridge

0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919

Realised P&L
$64.5k
Volume
$12.64M
Markets traded
1,911
Open portfolio
$30.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,911
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6160.525$4.0k$688.45
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.6030.855$3.0k+$875.93
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.4840.953$2.8k+$1.4k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8900.925$2.6k+$97.79
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7110.710$2.0k$4.00
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No0.7660.800$1.6k+$67.08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6020.609$1.5k+$16.44
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.4390.665$1.4k+$466.47
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · No0.8070.959$1.2k+$194.22
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9480.977$1.2k+$33.64
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.2760.162$1.0k$709.06
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1590.230$962.89+$297.25
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8660.982$816.31+$96.06
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · No0.6680.940$657.99+$190.33
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? · No0.8200.965$587.79+$88.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:46US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6228925431$382.58
09-16 14:31Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.52$497.73
09-15 22:20Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.62$2.23
09-15 22:20Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6188773632$137.82
09-15 09:29Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?BUY0.27$93.21
09-15 09:26Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?BUY0.4882355186$191.92
09-14 15:35Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.85$116.73
09-14 10:58Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7013635124$25.72
09-14 10:54No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.750611381$318.29
09-14 10:50AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?BUY0.62$7.14
09-14 10:19Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.5785126023$821.02
09-14 10:09Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?BUY0.9905$59.43
09-11 21:20Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.819$160.14
09-11 15:53Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6194940247$330.21
09-11 15:39Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.58$2.6k