Trading4Fridge
0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919
- Realised P&L
- $63.7k
- Volume
- $13.19M
- Markets traded
- 2,022
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,022
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.062Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$9.0kat 0.251Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.799US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.5kat 0.548Will the US strike Somalia next?
- +$5.3kat 0.511Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 13:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $22.62 |
| 10-22 17:08 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $49.50 |
| 10-22 17:03 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $266.79 |
| 10-22 16:57 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.02 |
| 10-22 16:47 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.56 |
| 10-22 16:47 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $87.24 |
| 10-22 16:44 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $19.23 |
| 10-22 15:59 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $130.54 |
| 10-22 15:58 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.93 | $69.75 |
| 10-22 15:27 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-22 15:20 | Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $144.00 |
| 10-22 15:19 | Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $122.70 |
| 10-22 15:16 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $82.74 |
| 10-22 15:15 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $189.74 |
| 10-22 15:05 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $4.01 |