Trading4Fridge
0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919
- Realised P&L
- $64.5k
- Volume
- $12.64M
- Markets traded
- 1,911
- Open portfolio
- $30.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,911
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.062Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$9.0kat 0.251Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.9kat 0.799US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.5kat 0.548Will the US strike Somalia next?
- +$5.3kat 0.511Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6228925431 | $382.58 |
| 09-16 14:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $497.73 |
| 09-15 22:20 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.23 |
| 09-15 22:20 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6188773632 | $137.82 |
| 09-15 09:29 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $93.21 |
| 09-15 09:26 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.4882355186 | $191.92 |
| 09-14 15:35 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $116.73 |
| 09-14 10:58 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7013635124 | $25.72 |
| 09-14 10:54 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.750611381 | $318.29 |
| 09-14 10:50 | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $7.14 |
| 09-14 10:19 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5785126023 | $821.02 |
| 09-14 10:09 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9905 | $59.43 |
| 09-11 21:20 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.819 | $160.14 |
| 09-11 15:53 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6194940247 | $330.21 |
| 09-11 15:39 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.6k |