pigment
0x02ead728ab076778e70ac76a68f097249013a39c
- Realised P&L
- $-6.55
- Volume
- $61.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$357.63at 0.583Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$337.29at 0.730Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
- +$304.30at 0.358S&P500 all time high after election is called?
- +$115.27at 0.697Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$70.27at 0.740Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8385312212 | $782.52 |
| 07-28 13:38 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999997 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 13:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0191534849 | $25.00 |
| 07-28 13:27 | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | SELL | 0.9830997591 | $942.70 |
| 07-24 13:32 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.59 | $176.28 |
| 07-20 15:58 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6591465368 | $386.16 |
| 07-20 15:57 | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | SELL | 0.9601734518 | $394.58 |
| 07-16 01:54 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | BUY | 0.9156211662 | $408.71 |
| 06-29 23:16 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5279999999 | $78.41 |
| 06-20 13:20 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.875 | $358.17 |
| 06-20 13:01 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 13:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-20 12:58 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.9301242829 | $460.49 |
| 05-15 13:47 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999993 | $622.71 |
| 05-04 03:13 | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $1000.00 |