PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pigment

0x02ead728ab076778e70ac76a68f097249013a39c

Realised P&L
$23.55
Volume
$67.2k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7440.948$1.0k+$220.28
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.8980.966$860.89+$60.89
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8390.740$690.57$91.95
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.945$408.70+$49.74
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No0.9160.825$368.26$40.45
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8200.956$349.57+$49.57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9080.924$321.13+$5.62
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7850.787$298.05+$0.76
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8300.805$236.59$7.35
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0310.042$132.74+$32.74
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6590.440$65.61$32.79
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.019$25.45+$0.45
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3860.084$10.88$39.12
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5280.000$0.00$78.41
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 14:10Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7849999996$297.29
09-12 02:29Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0312642552$100.00
09-12 02:28Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.85$407.16
09-08 01:52Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.8299999996$243.94
09-08 01:52Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$247.27
09-01 17:06Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.9083265618$315.51
09-01 17:00Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.359$49.47
09-01 16:59Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.847807284$270.73
07-28 13:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.8385312212$782.52
07-28 13:38Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8199999997$300.00
07-28 13:31Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0191534849$25.00
07-28 13:27Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?SELL0.9830997591$942.70
07-24 13:32Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.59$176.28
07-20 15:58Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6591465368$386.16
07-20 15:57Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?SELL0.9601734518$394.58