PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pigment

0x02ead728ab076778e70ac76a68f097249013a39c

Realised P&L
$-6.55
Volume
$61.8k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7440.845$916.71+$109.08
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.8980.945$842.17+$42.17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8390.865$807.22+$24.70
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7800.915$730.49+$107.78
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.935$404.37+$45.41
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? · No0.9160.900$401.74$6.97
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8200.825$301.83+$1.83
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No0.6870.655$190.55$9.45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6590.484$139.08$50.14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.024$30.67+$5.67
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3860.135$17.49$32.51
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5280.000$0.00$78.41
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 13:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.8385312212$782.52
07-28 13:38Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8199999997$300.00
07-28 13:31Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0191534849$25.00
07-28 13:27Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?SELL0.9830997591$942.70
07-24 13:32Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.59$176.28
07-20 15:58Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6591465368$386.16
07-20 15:57Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?SELL0.9601734518$394.58
07-16 01:54Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?BUY0.9156211662$408.71
06-29 23:16Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5279999999$78.41
06-20 13:20Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.875$358.17
06-20 13:01Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
06-20 13:00Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6299999982$50.00
06-20 12:58Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.9301242829$460.49
05-15 13:47Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7799999993$622.71
05-04 03:13Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?BUY0.73$1000.00