PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bqb

0x6f52c7a19b37d9d9deb65546ccd7edc1dd92046f

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$122.1k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4580.370$591.36−$140.51
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0520.244$469.98+$369.98
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$56.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$353.09
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No0.3940.000$0.00−$2.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 08:13Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4579142856$731.87
08-16 08:12Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0519168219$100.00
07-20 21:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.1773606567$880.29
07-17 18:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.2000066458$992.69
01-04 13:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.33$153.90
10-30 20:48Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3449999997$800.46
10-22 16:57Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3509999994$200.00
10-17 11:55Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3879999999$905.00
10-07 17:10Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4639999999$1000.00
08-29 10:48Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?BUY0.0481192059$50.00
08-16 12:52Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?SELL0.12$36.67
08-12 18:13Will Trump say "Trans" during Elon interview?BUY0.3799999985$150.00
08-08 20:29Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?BUY0.6199999999$100.00
08-05 14:16Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?BUY0.679999999$200.00
08-05 14:16Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?BUY0.3272727257$100.00