Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.001. Unchanged over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.001. 163 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	70,459	70,459
0.002	1,901	72,359
0.003	1,271	73,631
0.004	655	74,286
0.005	522	74,809
0.008	187	74,995
0.009	701	75,696
0.010	39	75,735
0.012	156	75,891
0.019	48	75,939
0.020	29	75,968
0.025	351	76,319

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	70,459	70,459
0.998	1,901	72,359
0.997	1,271	73,631
0.996	655	74,286
0.995	522	74,809
0.992	187	74,995
0.991	701	75,696
0.990	39	75,735
0.988	156	75,891
0.981	48	75,939
0.980	29	75,968
0.975	351	76,319

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
qwen4.1.fund	Yes	20,304.19
donthackme	Yes	19,275.52
Bigggggggg	Yes	18,994.29
e46m3	Yes	18,764.29
cigarettes	Yes	14,019.47
forgotmydinner	Yes	12,614.29
balthazar	Yes	12,547.06
alex20011	Yes	8,507.96
WarriorH	Yes	7,043.62
0xd32c…a4c2	Yes	5,637.53
AnimalEater	Yes	4,999.95
0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251	Yes	3,721.78
123987456	Yes	3,217.22
mildwindow27	Yes	3,162.5
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060	Yes	2,682.9
SpringlyFawl	Yes	2,470.01
VerilyWinningly	Yes	2,401.41
VictorLudorum	Yes	2,036.88
korda77	Yes	1,833.25
pollo07	Yes	1,808.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:06:08	BUY	Yes	0.001	1,000	$1.00
04:53:39	BUY	No	0.999	6	$6.05
04:53:39	BUY	No	0.999	15	$14.88
04:53:37	BUY	No	0.999	81	$80.92
04:53:37	BUY	No	0.999	434	$434.05
04:53:36	BUY	No	0.999	40	$39.96
02:50:45	BUY	No	0.999	30	$29.97
02:50:45	BUY	No	0.999	8	$7.72
02:50:43	BUY	No	0.999	8	$8.03
02:50:43	BUY	No	0.999	8	$8.04
02:50:43	BUY	No	0.999	8	$8.13
02:50:43	BUY	No	0.999	30	$29.97
02:50:43	BUY	No	0.999	12	$12.04
23:19:30	BUY	No	0.999	6	$5.99
19:01:31	BUY	No	0.999	21	$21.07
16:25:21	BUY	No	0.999	40	$39.96
16:25:21	BUY	No	0.999	46	$45.50
16:25:21	BUY	No	0.999	1	$1.18
16:25:21	BUY	No	0.999	5	$5.00
15:51:07	BUY	No	0.999	81	$80.92
15:51:06	BUY	No	0.999	158	$157.84
15:51:06	BUY	No	0.999	7	$7.12
15:51:06	BUY	No	0.999	40	$39.96
15:50:46	BUY	No	0.999	6	$5.99
15:50:46	BUY	No	0.999	81	$80.92