VerilyWinningly
0x6276ea490d6ca3a539f1d571a89d53d26e9f9db5
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $210.30
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$447.63at 0.150Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$272.29at 0.218Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$241.98at 0.340Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
- +$222.61at 0.550Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$201.47at 0.081Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:56 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 02:38 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $36.08 |
| 09-17 02:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.457 | $18.39 |
| 09-16 21:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0846583851 | $2.73 |
| 09-16 20:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $81.85 |
| 09-16 19:51 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 18:45 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.99 |
| 09-16 18:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.0833663418 | $6.33 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.41 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? | BUY | 0.26 | $8.58 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will Luxembourg win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? | BUY | 0.88 | $29.04 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.638 | $3.06 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.638 | $42.36 |
| 09-16 16:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.238 | $6.43 |
| 09-16 11:58 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.76 |