PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

VerilyWinningly

0x6276ea490d6ca3a539f1d571a89d53d26e9f9db5

Realised P&L
$6.4k
Volume
$32.6k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$210.30

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar19.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? · No0.8700.855$52.47$0.92
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6470.622$41.45$1.67
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.7000.665$36.91$1.94
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.1300.120$24.72$2.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4580.459$18.48+$0.04
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? · No0.4500.340$15.98$5.17
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? · No0.7000.585$2.42$0.48
Will Estonia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? · Yes0.1430.050$1.65$3.06
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.010$1.13$2.40
Will the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.4700.029$0.80$11.89
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No0.2300.070$0.80$1.82
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.005$0.72$28.20
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? · Yes0.1250.028$0.35$1.23
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0280.001$0.31$16.98
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0280.001$0.31$16.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 06:56Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?SELL0.54$2.70
09-17 02:38Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.65$36.08
09-17 02:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.457$18.39
09-16 21:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0846583851$2.73
09-16 20:37Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.66$81.85
09-16 19:51Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.14$4.30
09-16 18:45Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.13$3.99
09-16 18:28Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.0833663418$6.33
09-16 18:06Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?BUY0.22$2.41
09-16 18:06Will Iceland win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?BUY0.26$8.58
09-16 18:06Will Luxembourg win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?BUY0.88$29.04
09-16 17:03Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.638$3.06
09-16 17:03Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.638$42.36
09-16 16:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.238$6.43
09-16 11:58Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.34$4.76