0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2
- Realised P&L
- $85.4k
- Volume
- $3.95M
- Markets traded
- 1,633
- Open portfolio
- $157.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,633
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.9kat 0.035Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$26.4kat 0.083Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$23.1kat 0.240Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$22.4kat 0.210Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$13.3kat 0.009Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 09-17 23:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 09-17 23:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 09-17 23:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.938 | $93.80 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.30 |
| 09-17 22:32 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.20 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $98.90 |
| 09-17 21:41 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-17 21:41 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 21:41 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 09-17 21:41 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |