0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2
- Realised P&L
- $49.3k
- Volume
- $3.14M
- Markets traded
- 1,455
- Open portfolio
- $38.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,455
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.5kat 0.080Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$22.5kat 0.210Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$13.4kat 0.009Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$12.5kat 0.011Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$12.3kat 0.714Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.35 | $11.30 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.23 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $32.10 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.26 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $32.13 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.26 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.93 | $30.03 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.989 | $31.93 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.26 |
| 08-03 20:49 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.23 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $68.59 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.93 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $68.86 |