PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2

Realised P&L
$49.3k
Volume
$3.14M
Markets traded
1,455
Open portfolio
$38.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,455
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.80$110.93
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.78$109.20
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.69$104.04
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$1.69$104.04
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0500.001$1.19$118.12
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0310.001$1.00$61.23
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0310.001$1.00$61.23
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0310.001$1.00$61.23
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0310.001$1.00$61.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 20:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.35$11.30
08-03 20:49Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$32.23
08-03 20:49Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.994$32.10
08-03 20:49Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$32.26
08-03 20:49Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.995$32.13
08-03 20:49Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$32.26
08-03 20:49Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.93$30.03
08-03 20:49Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.989$31.93
08-03 20:49Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$32.26
08-03 20:49Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$32.23
08-03 20:44Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$68.93
08-03 20:44Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.994$68.59
08-03 20:44Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$68.93
08-03 20:44Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$68.93
08-03 20:44Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$68.86